Most companies are still using AI primarily as a productivity tool. That is useful. It is also only the beginning.
Over the past few years, I have gone through this evolution myself. What started as using AI to research, write, analyse and think faster gradually became something different: a way to encode expertise, connect signals, structure decisions and increasingly simulate commercial choices before execution.
Looking back, the progression has been surprisingly clear: augment expertise, encode expertise, connect intelligence, simulate impact.
That sequence started as my own applied AI journey. But I increasingly believe it reflects a broader maturity path for companies trying to move beyond isolated use cases.
The real evolution of applied AI is not from better prompts to better agents. It is from assisted work to better business systems.

My own applied AI journey has followed four stages: augment expertise, encode expertise, connect intelligence and simulate impact. Into a complete system.
Stage 1: Augment expertise
Like many people, I started with AI as a thinking and productivity partner. Research became faster. Competitive reading became broader. Synthesis improved. Strategic ideation accelerated. Scenario thinking became easier. Writing, visual briefing and multilingual communication became more efficient. These were real gains, and they still matter.
This is where many organisations are today.
AI helps individuals do existing work faster and sometimes better. It saves time. It expands the amount of information one person can process. It makes first drafts, analysis and exploration cheaper.
But there is a limitation: the value still sits largely with the individual user.
A good prompt helps one person. A useful chatbot helps one workflow. A smart assistant accelerates one task.
The organisation has not necessarily become smarter.
Stage 2: Encode expertise
The next step in my own journey came when I stopped thinking only about what AI could produce and started thinking about what expertise could be made repeatable.
That led to codifying decision logic into frameworks, methods and structured processes. My commercial experience could increasingly be expressed through repeatable systems such as ADAPT & FLY and related commercial design frameworks.
This is a fundamentally different use of AI.
Instead of asking: What can AI do for me?
The question becomes: What do experienced people know how to do, and how can some of that logic be made explicit, reusable and scalable?
That matters because much organisational knowledge remains tacit.
Experienced leaders know which questions to ask. They recognise weak positioning, portfolio overlap, poor commercial logic or execution friction. But that expertise often disappears into meetings, presentations and judgement calls.
AI becomes more powerful when it helps make some of that judgement structure explicit.
Not replacing expertise.
Encoding it.
How I help
This evolution now sits behind how I work with CEOs and leadership teams.
The objective is not to add AI to existing activity. It is to improve how the organisation sees, decides and executes: detecting external signals, diagnosing commercial constraints, shaping stronger choices, simulating potential moves and turning decisions into measurable execution.
That is why the system has evolved around Scan, Shape, Scale and Augment, rather than around individual AI tools.
Stage 3: Connect intelligence
The next change was even more important.
Once expertise is structured, different forms of intelligence can begin to connect.
Signals no longer need to sit in one research file. Competitive intelligence does not need to live in another deck. Portfolio analysis, GTM diagnosis, AI readiness and execution issues do not need to remain separate exercises.
This led me towards connected systems: Sharp Execution Scans, AI Team Scans, market signals, audience signals, PE signals, competitive scanning, Product Forge and Value Stretch Designer.
The important change was not the number of tools.
It was the relationship between them.
A market signal becomes more useful when it can influence a portfolio diagnosis. A competitive move becomes more useful when it changes a pricing or proposition question. A scan becomes more valuable when its findings feed directly into design and execution.
That is the point where AI begins to move from productivity to intelligence infrastructure.
From isolated use cases to a learning system
This is where many companies will need to rethink their AI programmes.
The usual approach is still largely use-case driven: can AI improve customer service, automate reporting, create content, support sales or generate assets faster?
These are reasonable questions. But they often produce fragmented value.
One team adopts one system. Another experiments elsewhere. Data remains disconnected. Expertise remains implicit. The organisation accumulates AI activity without necessarily creating an AI-augmented operating model.
The more interesting question is: How should these capabilities work together?
That is a different design problem.
It moves attention from tools to systems.
Stage 4: Simulate impact
The latest step in my own evolution is simulation.
I am now building commercial digital twins and category models that bring together portfolio, features, price, promotion, distribution, messaging and market activity. The aim is to move beyond observing the market towards testing possible commercial choices before execution.
This changes the role of AI again.
Instead of only asking: What is happening?
We can increasingly ask: What could happen if we changed this?
What if we repositioned a product? What if we changed the portfolio architecture? What if we adjusted price points? What if we altered the channel mix? What if a competitor launched into this gap? What if we combined market signals with financial impact?
This does not mean simulation produces certainty.
It means management can test assumptions before committing resources.
That is a much more interesting use of AI than simply producing faster answers.
The maturity curve is not really about AI
The deeper lesson from this progression is that the maturity curve is not primarily technological.
It is organisational.
At the first stage, AI improves tasks.
At the second, it captures decision logic.
At the third, it connects intelligence.
At the fourth, it helps test business choices.
The underlying progression is therefore:
Work faster → think more systematically → connect evidence → improve decisions before execution.
That is a very different ambition from “deploy AI.”
The current loop
The system I am building now follows a simple logic:
Signals → Digital Twin → Diagnose → Design → Simulate → Execute.
Each stage improves the next.
Signals provide evidence. The digital twin creates context. Diagnosis identifies constraints and opportunities. Design creates possible responses. Simulation tests them. Execution generates new evidence.
Then the loop starts again.
That is why I increasingly see applied AI not as a collection of tools but as part of a commercial learning system.
What this means for leaders
For CEOs, this creates a different way to think about AI maturity.
The question is not simply how many AI tools have been deployed, how many employees use copilots, or how many workflows have been automated.
Better questions are:
How much of our expertise remains trapped in individuals?
Which decisions can be made more repeatable without making them mechanical?
Are our market signals connected to our commercial decisions?
Can we detect changes earlier?
Can we diagnose their implications faster?
Can we test major assumptions before spending?
Does AI improve the quality of decisions, or only their speed?
Those questions move AI closer to business value.
Do not automate weak logic
There is also an important risk.
If the underlying commercial logic is weak, AI can scale the weakness.
A poor value proposition can be communicated faster. A confused portfolio can generate more content. Weak competitive assumptions can be automated. A bad process can simply become a faster bad process.
That is why the sequence matters.
Do not begin with automation.
Begin with logic.
What decision are we improving? What evidence should inform it? What expertise needs to be encoded? What judgement must remain human? What result should change?
Only then does automation become leverage.
The broader shift
Looking back at my own progression since 2023, the biggest change is not that AI became more powerful.
It is that my own use of it changed.
From an assistant to a method.
From a method to a system.
From a system to connected intelligence.
From connected intelligence to simulation.
That is personal.
But I suspect the broader direction is not.
Many businesses are now reaching the point where the first productivity gains from AI are no longer enough. The next phase will be about integrating AI into how expertise is captured, signals are interpreted, choices are made and execution is improved.
The competitive divide may increasingly be between companies that use AI and companies that redesign parts of their operating system around it.
The strategic brief
Applied AI maturity is not primarily about moving from ChatGPT to agents.
It is about moving from individual assistance to organisational capability.
From augmented expertise to encoded expertise.
From encoded expertise to connected intelligence.
From connected intelligence to simulation.
From faster output to better decisions.
My own path has followed that sequence, not because I planned it from the beginning, but because each stage exposed the limitations of the one before it.
That may be the most useful lesson.
AI adoption does not end when people learn to use the tools.
That is when the more interesting work begins.
A practical next step
Look at where your organisation currently sits.
Are you mainly using AI to make individuals faster? Have you started turning expertise into repeatable logic? Are signals, diagnostics and workflows beginning to connect? Can important business choices be tested before execution?
There is no need to jump directly to the final stage.
But it helps to know there is a stage beyond the copilot.
And another one beyond that.
Suggested reading
From The Strategic Brief
I Did Not Build a Consulting Framework. I Built the Commercial System I Kept Needing.
Most CEOs Don’t Need More Dashboards. They Need Sharper Signal Detection.
Competitive Intelligence in 2026: Scan Competitors, Don’t Profile Them.
Stop Reading Category Reports. Start Running Live Category Scans.
Where AI Actually Creates GTM Leverage.
AI Is Making GTM Faster. That May Be the Problem.
Explore further
System: fredericmartin.eu/system
Scan: fredericmartin.eu/scan
Augment: fredericmartin.eu/augment
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